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2
Introduction and context of the MEIP
2.1
The Climate Agenda & the Mediterranean
Climate change remains one of the most pressing and complex challenges of our era, shaping both the global political discourse and economic priorities. Since the landmark adoption of the Paris Agreement in 2015 under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), nations have intensified their collective efforts to limit the rise in global average temperature to well below 2°C, and ideally to just 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
In this context, the European Union has progressively asserted its climate leadership. The European Green Deal, unveiled in 2019, serves as the foundation of the EU’s strategy to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. It promotes a transformative model of sustainable growth that decouples economic development from greenhouse gas emissions. This ambition was further solidified in 2021 with the Fit-for-55 package, which establishes the legally binding target of reducing EU emissions by at least 55% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels.
The energy crisis precipitated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 underscored the strategic urgency of accelerating the clean energy transition. In response, the European Commission launched the REPowerEU Plan, emphasising that reducing reliance on fossil fuel imports and investing in renewables, energy efficiency, and resilient infrastructure are not only environmental imperatives but also critical to energy security and economic stability. As a result, the global climate agenda has evolved to integrate security, industrial competitiveness, and resilience into the broader decarbonisation framework.
Meeting the objectives of the Paris Agreement and the EU’s long-term climate vision demands a profound transformation of the global energy system across both supply and demand. On the supply side, rapid deployment of renewable and low-carbon technologies is essential, supported by flexible assets such as battery energy storage systems (BESS), enhanced grid interconnections, and demand-side response mechanisms to manage the variability of renewable generation. On the demand side, improvements in energy efficiency, widespread electrification, and shifts in consumption behaviour are vital to aligning energy use with climate targets.
Within this broader transformation, the Mediterranean region holds a unique and strategic position. Although its total greenhouse gas emissions account for only around 6% of the global total2, the region is disproportionately affected by climate impacts, including intensifying heatwaves, droughts, and water scarcity. These phenomena threaten ecosystems, food systems, and economic stability. At the same time, the region’s energy and demographic dynamics are highly heterogeneous. Southern and eastern Mediterranean countries are experiencing rapid population growth, urbanisation, and industrialisation. driving a steady rise in electricity demand. In contrast, northern Mediterranean countries are advancing in energy efficiency and renewable integration but face growing challenges related to grid flexibility and system stability as the share of variable renewables increases.
Importantly, Mediterranean non-EU countries have also joined the global climate effort by formulating and updating their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement. These commitments reflect growing political will to reduce emissions, enhance climate resilience, and promote sustainable development. Many of these countries are now designing national policies and strategies that align with their NDC targets, including renewable energy deployment, energy efficiency measures, and climate adaptation initiatives. This convergence of ambition across the Mediterranean Basin reinforces the potential for coordinated regional action.
The southern and eastern Mediterranean countries are naturally equipped with abundant Renewable Energy Resources (RES), particularly solar and wind. These resources offer the potential not only to meet rising domestic demand but also to support regional energy integration and the development of green hydrogen markets. However, the deployment remains slower than the region’s technical and economic potential would suggest. Despite falling technology costs and increasingly supportive policy environments, barriers such as limited grid infrastructure and financing constraints continue to impede large-scale implementation.
The contrasting realities across the Mediterranean Basin present significant complementarities that could be leveraged through enhanced regional cooperation. Developing robust electricity interconnections is central to unlocking these synergies. Strengthened cross-border infrastructure would enable more efficient resource sharing, bolster system flexibility, enhance energy security, and facilitate greater renewable energy integration. Moreover, interconnected grids lay the groundwork for integrated electricity markets, facilitating optimal resource dispatch and supporting the transition to a sustainable and resilient energy system.
Looking ahead, the success of the climate and energy transition in the Mediterranean will depend on coordinated action across national, regional, and European levels. The region’s vast renewable potential, rising energy demand, and strategic location linking Europe, North-Africa, and the Middle East, position it as a pivotal actor in the global energy transition. Fulfilling this potential will require sustained political commitment, targeted infrastructure investment, innovation in grid technologies, and the establishment of clear and stable regulatory frameworks. By aligning climate ambition with regional cooperation and economic opportunity, the Mediterranean can play a decisive role in advancing global decarbonisation and fostering regional stability.
²Carbon Emissions – Global Carbon Atlas
2.2
Med-TSO’s vision
Med-TSO is the leading strategic and technical association driving the evolution of the electricity sector across the Mediterranean, a hub region that connects Europe, Africa, and Asia.
This report is a direct product of that vision, demonstrating Med-TSO’s role as a platform for the multilateral cooperation of its 20 member TSOs, and reflecting the Association’s commitment to shaping the Mediterranean into a model of integrated, resilient, and sustainable power systems.
Through policy alignment, technical cooperation, and strategic infrastructure planning, Med-TSO supports its members in leading the transition toward a reliable and climate-resilient energy future for this diverse and interconnected region.
The Association aims to become a key instrument for the integration and development of the region’s electricity transmission systems, a goal pursued through the projects assessed in this document, which focus on interconnection development and the large-scale integration of RES. By providing proactive support to its members in planning of new interconnections and facilitating a harmonised assessment framework, Med-TSO works to represent the collective needs of the region’s TSOs and improve relations with all stakeholders in order to build a more integrated, sustainable, and secure energy future.
2.3
Aim and scope of Mediterranean projects
The Mediterranean Interconnection projects promoted by Med-TSO members, planned for the 2040 time-horizon and beyond, along with the exploratory initiatives, are assessed to evaluate their potential to enhance regional energy security, address the challenges of the energy transition, facilitate widespread RES integration, and support market harmonisation in line with long-term climate objectives. This assessment aims to provide strategic guidance for investment prioritisation by fostering regional cooperation, aligning infrastructure development with shared goals, and ensuring these projects can effectively accelerate decarbonisation, increase system flexibility, and promote long-term energy independence across the region.
Interconnection projects are organised into five corridors, or project clusters: the West Mediterranean Corridor, Central Mediterranean & North Africa Backbone, East Mediterranean Interconnectors, Adriatic and Balkan Corridor, and Middle East Mediterranean Integration, to better capture common drivers, regional needs, and shared geographic and network characteristics. The evaluation includes an in-depth analysis of the techno-economic feasibility of these interconnections, considering future capacity requirements, technical standards, and grid integration challenges associated with rising renewable generation, as well as the integration of advanced technologies such as green hydrogen and electric mobility. The assessment explores three long-term scenarios that account for evolving demand patterns, generation mixes, and regional market integration, supported by detailed technical studies including 8,760-hour network simulations and market studies through a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis (CBA). The results are summarised in concise technical descriptions, outlining necessary grid reinforcements, estimated project investment costs, and key CBA indicators such as socio-economic welfare (SEW), RES integration potential, and CO2 reduction benefits. Additionally, the analysis highlights each project’s overall merits. These assessments aim to confirm that prioritised projects are technically robust, economically viable, and environmentally sustainable.
2.4
Why a 2040 Mediterranean Perspective document?
The Mediterranean region stands at a pivotal juncture in its energy transition. While the 2030 Master Plan of Interconnection developed by Med-TSO provides a robust framework for short-term infrastructure development, the rapidly evolving energy landscape demands a complementary 2040 Mediterranean Electricity Interconnection Perspective document. This medium-term strategic outlook is essential to anticipate future challenges, guide investment decisions, and ensure the resilience and integration of the Mediterranean Power System.
The 2030 Master Plan focuses on mature interconnection projects and near-term market analyses. However, the energy transition is not a linear process. The 2025 edition aims at updating the report published in 2022 and focuses on 2030 targets, prioritising the most mature infrastructure projects that are essential for advancing regional decarbonisation, integrating renewable energy sources, and enhancing cross-border interconnections. These projects strive to improve energy security, boost market efficiency, and reduce the environmental impact of electricity generation.
However, by 2040, the Mediterranean region will face new technological, geopolitical, and environmental dynamics that cannot be fully captured within a 2030 horizon. Examples include the rapid growth of Renewable Generation Sources (RES) and the evolutions around green hydrogen and electric Mobility. The 2040 Perspective document serves as a bridge between the tactical 2030 goals and the visionary 2050 decarbonisation targets, offering a coherent roadmap that aligns infrastructure development with long-term climate commitments.
Infrastructure investments require long lead times and substantial capital. The 2040 Perspective document assesses priority projects promoted by Med-TSO members, defines technical requirements and evaluates economic viability. This transparency is crucial for attracting funding from public and private sources, including EU instruments and international financial institutions. It also helps mitigate risks by aligning investments with long-term demand forecasts and policy trends.
It is important to emphasise that the 2040 Perspective document is not a substitute for the 2030 Master Plan; it is a complementary tool. While the Master Plan focuses on mature projects and immediate needs, the 2040 document explores long-term opportunities, emerging technologies, and strategic reinforcements. Together, they form a comprehensive planning suite that equips Med-TSO to navigate the complexities of the energy transition. Moreover, they ensure a strategic, phased approach to regional energy development, balancing immediate priorities with long-term ambitions.
The prospects for the evolution of Mediterranean Power Systems are presented in detail in another deliverable of the TEASIMED 2 project: the Med-TSO Scenario Report for the 2030 and 2040 horizons.